Risk event for the Pound next week
Are we there yet?
Yes, is the likely answer.
We may well have reached peak interest rates after the Bank of England hit ‘pause’ last week.
The US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank did the same (safety in numbers).
So what now?
The coming week will be less about central bank meetings and more about central banker speeches.
The question everyone is asking is whether inflation will keep falling.
The signs are good.
Andrew Bailey, the Guv at the Bank of England, expects inflation to “fall dramatically” when the next month of inflation data is released next Tuesday.
That’s a big call, he sounds mighty confident, I suspect he knows something we don’t.
Watch out for that one.
If he’s right, the Pound could cop a hammering.
The US Dollar got hit late last week on a soft jobs number because it will mean the US Fed can pause for a while.
That’s why I am nervous about the Pound.
We still see range-bound trading as the most likely scenario for now because the central banks are acting in unison.
On that basis, there will still be plenty of opportunities to take advantage of the inevitable ups and downs that occur in currency markets.
So what next, what should you do?
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Wednesday 8th November 2023 at 10:00
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