Why 2024 is set for currency volatility.
Markets are forward-looking beasts.
By saying that, I mean they not only react to current news but also try to anticipate news before it occurs.
Which is why I wanted to touch on what’s happening right now.
Futures markets are pricing in a bunch of interest rate cuts in 2024.
Good news for borrowers, but a mixed bag for currencies.
At the moment, markets are expecting the EU to slash rates by around 1.5% next year, the US to cut by 1.25% and the UK by 0.75%.
As currencies weaken with lower rates, any difference in the size of the cuts would trigger a good dose of currency volatility.
If all remains unchanged (a big if), the Pound should benefit relative to the Euro and Dollar.
A lot could & will happen between now and then, but that is the current consensus thinking across the medium term.
In the short-term we have had a bit of profit taking in Pound Sterling after its stellar run recently.
Both GBP/EUR and GBP/USD have drifted down over the past week.
There’s just over 2 weeks to go in 2023...
So what next, what should you do?
Get ahead of the game and read our Guide to Foreign Currency Exchange.
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Current rates:
Wednesday 13th December 2023 at 10.00
£1.00 GBP = 1.1610 EURO
£1.00 GBP = 1.2524 USD
£1.00 GBP = 1.9107 AUD
£1.00 GBP = 2.0542 NZD
£1.00 GBP = 1.7025 CAD
£1.00 GBP = 1.0973 CHF
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