Big week ahead for Currency Exchange Pairings
Especially for Sterling against the Euro and the US Dollar - GBP/EUR and GBP/USD.
We have rate decisions in both the US and EU.
Expect volatility in GBP/USD and GBP/EUR as a result.
Both central banks are expected to raise interest rates again, however any clues on future rates may well be the interesting bit.
The EU is probably behind the curve of other central banks and has a few rate rises left in the tank. That will underpin the value of the Euro over the coming months.
The US Dollar faces a different story.
One reason the US Dollar has been weak lately is that markets are expecting the Federal Reserve to begin cutting interest rates by the end of the year. It’s a brave call given we’re in May and they are still raising rates!
But with US inflation subsiding quickly and a raft of US bank failures, it’s not as crazy as it first sounds.
Meanwhile the Bank of England is preparing for its 12th consecutive interest rate increase. Ouch! The decision will come Thursday week - 11th May.
Our guess is it will be the top of the cycle for UK interest rates, particularly as the latest survey of inflation expectations dropped to 5.2%.
Bear in mind, interest rate hikes have been supporting the value of the Pound over the past year or so.
For now, the Pound to Euro trend looks choppy and Pound to Dollar trend has an upward bias.
So what next, what should you do?
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Current rates:
Wednesday 3rd May 2023 at 11:20
£1.00 GBP = 1.1337 EURO
£1.00 GBP = 1.2515 USD
£1.00 GBP = 1.8793 AUD
£1.00 GBP = 2.0111 NZD
£1.00 GBP = 1.7052 CAD
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