Today's Currency Market Focus
GBP: White knuckle ride
EUR: Staying out of trouble
USD: Right said Fed
GBP: White knuckle ride
As we warned earlier this week, the Pound’s short-term rally was at risk of Brexit developments. The government has now revealed its no-deal plans and it was enough to spook the markets.
We note from bookmakers that the odds of a no-deal outcome stand at 60% - coincidentally what Liam Fox claimed it was last week.
There is of course hope that both sides buckle as the deadline approaches and a compromise can be reached. But it’s looking like a white-knuckle ride. Needless to say the uncertainty is not doing UK businesses or the Pound any favours.
EUR: Staying out of trouble
Lately the Euro’s moves have been largely dictated by events elsewhere. Yesterday was a case in point with the latest Brexit news and Fed minutes overshadowing the EU economic news.
Despite the lull, the Euro still remains vulnerable to external shocks as there’s a number of risk events lingering in the background.
USD: Right said Fed
Despite President Trump saying he was “not thrilled” with the Fed raising rates, the latest minutes revealed the committee is undeterred and that a September hike is looking likely.
The news was enough to put an end to the Dollar’s five day losing streak.
Meanwhile there’s been little news from trade talks between the US and China. Instead, the media has been focused on the payment scandal involving Trump’s former lawyer. Analysts are speculating that the President will not want to concede any ground on trade while he’s dealing with the fall-out.
Today we have Durable Goods Orders and a speech from Fed Chairman, Jerome Powell. Perhaps it’s not as interesting as anything to do with Stormy Daniels or Russian election conspiracies, but nevertheless it’s important for Dollar direction.
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Current rates:
Friday 24th August 2018 at 16:15
£1.00 GBP = 1.1057 EURO
£1.00 GBP = 1.2860 USD
£1.00 GBP = 1.7531 AUD
£1.00 GBP = 1.92824 NZD
£1.00 GBP = 1.6763 CAD
£1.00 GBP = 18.3761 ZAR
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